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CAMPAIGN-11 Phase 4: the soak passed, with two absences answered honestly
All five daily jobs fired exactly once and completed on time. The 04:15 offsite
run produced snapshot_count 1 -> 2, last_status ok, 24.9s — unprompted, on a box
rebuilt twice and set aside four hours earlier. Nothing on the must-not list
fired, including offsiteheal: that is R-218's NEGATIVE control passing (a box
with a target must not declare), which does not substitute for its positive
half, still owed.

Investigated and DISPROVED: tier2-backup completing in 118ms looked like a
silent no-op; the copy is real and on the backup drive (818.5 KB verified).

Correction to my own pre-registration: backup_run_digest is a TEST FILENAME, not
an event type. The real one is backup_run_failures, a failures digest whose
silence on a clean night is correct — reporting it as a miss would have been a
finding I invented. What survives: the offsite run emits no hub event while both
lesser tiers announce success; failures and staleness are covered elsewhere, so
it is a consistency wrinkle, recorded not filed.

Two absences answered rather than assumed: the restore-test's silence was
PRE-REGISTERED as correct (6h eval, 24h settle); the agent's whole-guest tier is
left explicitly UNRESOLVED because routine local-api calls are not logged at INFO
— a 5h search returns 0 on a box that demonstrably served such calls, so the
instrument cannot answer.

No product code changed.
2026-08-06 04:21:13 +02:00
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