The first write-up said R-157 reproduced "at the same cycle in both runs -
deterministic, not a coincidence". Wrong. The cycle numbers matched only because
the runner's RNG is seeded so both runs drew the same permutation. The failure
itself is a coin flip: run 2b's four hard resets went PASS(c2), FAIL(c10),
PASS(c18), FAIL(c26); run 2a went PASS(c2), FAIL(c10). Three failures in six.
The correction matters because it changes what kind of bug this is, and it
strengthens rather than weakens the root cause: intermittency is exactly what a
race against container-state settling predicts, whereas a wrong predicate would
fail every time.
Signature is identical on all three occurrences: rallly Exited 255 with
rallly-postgres healthy, bootrecon reporting "no boot-orphaned apps" about 5s
after controller start, and the container count still churning after the sweep
(third occurrence 01:05: refresh 8, bootrecon 01:05:13, then 8 -> 7 -> 8).
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