Commit Graph

12 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
admin 5f35aa0346 Campaign 10: M-band RTO measured — RTO ~= 40s + 26.9s/GB, and a capacity ceiling that matters more
The S figures (66 MB -> 42.0s, two passes agreeing to 0.6s) had a spread tight
enough to prove fixed work dominates, which is exactly why they said nothing about
M. Second point taken 327x larger, same app, same method: clock from restore
request to the app serving the correct discriminator.

rallly's postgres volume grown 66 MB -> 21.1 GB (200k rows, STORAGE EXTERNAL so
TOAST cannot compress it into a fake number). Two reps:

  rep 1  backup 406.4s  unit 41149 MB  RTO 624.5s  discriminator correct
  rep 2  backup 387.2s  unit 41133 MB  RTO 591.8s  discriminator correct

327x the data cost 14.5x the time - strongly sub-linear:
  RTO ~= 40s + 26.9 s/GB      backup ~= 29s + 17.4 s/GB
  10 GB -> 5.2 min   20 GB -> 9.6 min (measured 10.1)   100 GB -> 46 min
The fixed ~40s dominates below ~1.5 GB, which IS the S band and explains its tight
clustering.

The more consequential result is capacity. A DB-backed app's recovery unit is
1.90x its data (volume tar PLUS SQL dump): 21.1 GB produced a 40.2 GB unit. The
default appliance ships /mnt/sys_drive at 20 GB, so the largest app that can hold
a local Tier-1/2 recovery unit on a default box is about 10 GB - and that fills the
volume. The M band does not fit on a default box at all; this test only reached
21 GB because sys_drive was first grown 20G -> 70G with the same operation the
product performs via SysDataGrowGB. A tier-sizing decision, not a defect, but it
is invisible until an app crosses it.

Caveats stated in the doc: two points define a line but do not test linearity; the
1.90x is DB-app-specific and a file-only app should be nearer 1.0x (inferred, not
measured); synthetic incompressible data; one app, one box.
2026-08-02 08:31:51 +02:00
admin 405a795e32 Campaign 10: RESOLVED — the backup_target_* silence was transient and self-recovered; SQLITE_BUSY drops are absorbed by retry
Both halves of the disposition were run and neither survived as a finding.

The I1/I1-pair violations cluster at cycles 31-33 and nowhere else across 39
cycles; c34-c39 are clean, so it recovered with no intervention. Final tally I1
37 PASS / 2 VIOLATION, I1-pair 36 PASS / 3 VIOLATION. On the quiesced box one slow
detach with 4 minutes either side produced a perfect pair. And the alarming
false-healthy (mentes bound=False while degraded=false) does not survive
quiescence - I had been reading the two halves at different instants of a detach.
No R-n.

Separately cleared: the hub's SQLITE_BUSY event drops. 7 in 24h including one for
the real customer demo-felhom, and the hub does return 500 with notification
dispatch only after a successful save - so a lost event would be a lost alarm. But
the controller retries 3 times and ZERO events exhausted their attempts; the
07:04:39 drop landed at 07:04:42. Nothing lost. Only cosmetic note: the ERROR line
reads like data loss and is not.
2026-08-02 07:10:49 +02:00
admin 1931dfcb0c Campaign 10: R-157 second mechanism — the zero-container case, which is SILENT
The 4th hard-reset failure had a different signature, verified not assumed: all of
rallly healthy, papra missing entirely with state=stopped deployed=True
containers=0. Zero containers is exactly what bootrecon deliberately never touches,
because the UI's Stop is compose down which removes containers - but a hard reset
landing during a compose operation produces the identical state. The signature the
safety rule depends on cannot distinguish the two.

Worse: in that state the deadapp check reported 0 currently down while a deployed
app was not running. No app_start_failed, no banner. That is the workspace's own
false-invariant #4 (F-CRIT-1, StateStopped assumed deliberate) recurring through a
hard reset rather than quiesce. NOT filed as new - CLAUDE.md already records it -
but confirmed live on 0.188.0 via a new path.

papra returned after ~15 min, later than the harness's 10-min window, so this
instance was slow rather than permanent and the doc says so. What restarted it is
not established.

Mechanism A (Exited, missed by the unsettled snapshot) alarms; mechanism B (zero
containers) is invisible on every channel. A settle-condition fix closes A only.
2026-08-02 05:35:57 +02:00
admin 2d64ee7241 Campaign 10: OPEN observation — backup_target_* pair went silent under rapid cycling
Three I1/I1-pair violations in ~5 minutes, all "expected event absent". Recorded as
an OPEN observation, NOT a finding: the system was mid-abuse when it was seen, and
a verdict taken on a system being hammered is worth little.

Established: it is not hub-side suppression and not a truncated log. The hub pod
has 0 restarts over 43h and the controller's own log matches it line for line, so
the events were never emitted. It is specific to the backup_target_* pair - the
generic storage_disconnected/reconnected pair for the other drive kept firing
normally throughout the same window.

Also sampled, and the more serious half if it survives quiescence: mentes reads
bound_under_parent=False while the backup-target state simultaneously reports
degraded=false. Those cannot both be right - a false healthy on the backup target
is I5/I6's failure mode.

NOT established: whether the pair recovers once cycling stops (the harness detaches
every ~2 min; a customer does not), whether the 02:25:37 controller restart is
implicated, and whether the degraded=false sample was transient.

Disposition written into the doc: after the run ends, quiesce with both drives
attached, then do ONE slow detach/reattach and see whether the pair fires. That
distinguishes "does not survive rapid cycling" from "the target alarm has silently
stopped working", which would be severe.
2026-08-02 04:44:51 +02:00
admin 3d4c5365c1 Campaign 10: correct R-157 — the failure is INTERMITTENT (3 of 6), not deterministic
The first write-up said R-157 reproduced "at the same cycle in both runs -
deterministic, not a coincidence". Wrong. The cycle numbers matched only because
the runner's RNG is seeded so both runs drew the same permutation. The failure
itself is a coin flip: run 2b's four hard resets went PASS(c2), FAIL(c10),
PASS(c18), FAIL(c26); run 2a went PASS(c2), FAIL(c10). Three failures in six.

The correction matters because it changes what kind of bug this is, and it
strengthens rather than weakens the root cause: intermittency is exactly what a
race against container-state settling predicts, whereas a wrong predicate would
fail every time.

Signature is identical on all three occurrences: rallly Exited 255 with
rallly-postgres healthy, bootrecon reporting "no boot-orphaned apps" about 5s
after controller start, and the container count still churning after the sweep
(third occurrence 01:05: refresh 8, bootrecon 01:05:13, then 8 -> 7 -> 8).
2026-08-02 03:17:03 +02:00
admin 7f6b00375b Campaign 10: R-157 — bootrecon's start-once sweep misses the boot orphan it exists to recover
Reproduced twice, two independent runs, same cycle (the runner's RNG is seeded so
both drew the same permutation - deterministic, not coincidence).

A hard reset mid-backup brought everything back except the app half of the
DB-backed stack: rallly left Exited 255, oom=false, restarts=0, its own log ending
"Ready" - it died healthy - while rallly-postgres returned healthy.

  20:28:13 Status refresh: 8 containers across 55 stacks   <-- docker ps -a shows NINE
  20:28:18 [bootrecon] Boot reconciliation: no boot-orphaned apps
  20:28:25 Status refresh: 7 ... 8 containers              <-- still churning AFTER the sweep
  20:39:14 [deadapp] 20 scans, 5 deployed evaluated, 1 currently down

The predicate is sound: once settled the controller reports rallly state=degraded
containers=2, and IsDownState includes StateDegraded, so len>0 && IsDownState
holds. The SNAPSHOT was wrong. bootrecon fires as a goroutine ~5s after start
while docker is still restoring containers, and is start-once by design, so it
never re-checks.

Consequence: the app stays down indefinitely. Detection is perfect and recovery
never happens - R-52's original shape, an alarm with no recovery. Not fixed.

Distinguished from this campaign's two earlier HARNESS defects: both drives bound,
every other app returned incl. the drive-backed one, only the app half of a
two-container stack missing while its DB is healthy, and it surfaced through the
fixed check written for exactly this.
2026-08-01 22:45:01 +02:00
admin 80db2c103a Campaign 10: full write-up of the run-2a harness defects
The previous commit message was truncated by an unescaped paren in the shell, so
the fix detail and the product observations were lost from the record. This adds
them as evidence, where they belong.

Covers: the cc_proof table showing no C010-A row at all (the seed never landed);
both harness defects; why an ambiguous I7 justified stopping a 10-cycle run; the
red-proofed controls; and two transient product observations recorded but NOT
filed as findings - the health probe naming the DB container on the app's port for
about 70s during recovery, and a ValidateDump WARN on a dump taken while the app
was down.
2026-08-01 19:52:51 +02:00
admin 9ca57e591b Campaign 10: two run-2a violations were HARNESS defects, not product defects — fixed
Run 2a hit its first two violations at cycle 10 and BOTH trace to my harness, not
the product. Recorded in full because a check that fails for the wrong reason is
as corrosive as one that passes for the wrong reason.

  HARD-RESET  VM returned=True canaries_intact=False
  I7          want=C10-C010-A-194530 got=C10-C009-A-192929 restore_ok=True

Root cause, evidenced: the cc_proof table's highest row is C10-C009-A — there is
NO C010-A row at all, so the seed never landed. The hard-reset atom ran earlier in
the same cycle and left rallly Exited(255); atom_restore_verify called seed() and
never checked its return value, so an unwritten generation became a fake stale
2026-08-01 19:51:57 +02:00
admin ac6c05bd7b Campaign 10: add monotonic-growth sampling — the half the invariants cannot see
I1-I11 are CORRECTNESS invariants: they answer 'is the system telling the truth
this cycle'. All 586 of them passed in run 1 while nothing at all watched whether
disk usage, snapshot count, log volume, fd count or RSS climbs. Accumulation is
exactly what depth was for, and it was missing from the invariant list.

Adds c10growth.py (Campaign 2's controller_rss.tsv precedent, widened to 19
metrics) sampling every 90s as a SEPARATE process, so the in-flight run 2 did not
have to be restarted. Attributes every sample to a cycle by reading the runner's
status.txt, and records NA rather than dying when the box is down during a
hard-reset or reboot atom.

c10growth_report.py turns it into Campaign 2's table shape (start/end/min/max/
slope-per-cycle) and splits verdicts by class: growth in RSS/fd/volumes/images/
restarts is a LEAK; growth in backup storage or the qcow2 is expected
accumulation, reported with a projection to cycle 45.

Caught a bug in the sampler itself on the first analysis: MENTES_USED_MB appeared
to jump 623 -> 5667 MB, which is exactly ROOT_USED_MB — when a drive is detached,
/mnt/<name> reverts to a plain directory on root and df silently reports the ROOT
filesystem. The same class of error as the agent's exactMount check, in the
measurement code. Gated on mountpoint and red-proofed both ways: a real mount
returns a number, a non-mount returns NA.
2026-08-01 17:48:04 +02:00
admin 816c59c43a Campaign 10: R-117 Q7 (fs aborted in place, device present) proven PASS; extended atom set
The case R-117's spike called the worse half — a drive dying with no detach/return
cycle, which before agent v0.117.0 emitted nothing on any channel indefinitely.
Box runs 0.119.0. Aborted ext4 in place (abort,emergency_ro; device still present):
bound_under_parent went false, storage_disconnected fired, the storage page named
the stopped app, and calibre-web (whose library binds that drive) was STOPPED
rather than restarted onto the dead namespace. Recovery needed a full device close,
not a remount — exactly as the fix intends (BindAborted => quiet no-op).

Runner extended with the 7 atom families run 1 skipped: abort-fs-in-place,
kill-agent-mid-backup, hard-reset-VM-mid-write, reboot-VM, concurrent
backup+restore, concurrent backup+detach, fill-drive-near-full. Also fixes a run-1
flaw recorded in the audit: reboot was appended AFTER the shuffle so it never
interleaved with a detach; heavy atoms are now permuted in with the rest.

Run-1 evidence preserved as *-run1.* (cycle numbering restarts per run).
2026-08-01 17:11:58 +02:00
admin 69f896d3cd Campaign 10 Phase B: 27 cycles, 586 invariant checks, 0 violations
Ran the soak on the Phase A rig. Ended on its own deadline — no watchdog halt,
no atom exception, no I11 breach.

I1 28+28 pairs, I2 28+28 pairs, I3 56, I4 56, I5/I6 28 each, I7 28, I10 135,
I11 28. Zero violations. The row counts are themselves the no-silent-skip check:
I3/I4 twice per cycle (both drives), I10 = 5 secret-class fields x 27, REBOOT on
cycles 7/14/21 only.

I7 is the headline: 28 restores, 28 correct discriminators — never stale, never
empty. RTO (Tier 1, rallly, 66 MB): min 38.8s, median 42.0s, p90 42.5s, max
44.3s. That is the S band's lower end ONLY; the 5.5s spread over 28 runs says
fixed work dominates, so nothing extrapolates to M or L. RPO not measured.

Every atom and invariant was proven BY HAND before automation — the runner
asserts nothing that was not first observed live.

Caught a Phase A gap before starting: no app had HDD_PATH, so all data sat on the
system disk and I3 could never have fired. Deployed calibre-web onto adatok
first; otherwise the run would have produced 27 green cycles that tested nothing
cross-drive.

Investigated and DISPROVED a suspected defect (audit 5.2): /api/disks reports
state=attached for a physically absent drive, and intermediary.go:230 really does
compute presence from State=="attached". It is inert — planDriveGates only gates
paths under /mnt/felhom-drives/ and uses BoundUnderParent there, which was
correctly false. The gate fired; the storage page showed "Meghajtó leválasztva".
No R-n minted.

Honest gaps: 6 of ~12 atom families ran. Not run — Tier 3 (structurally
un-isolatable), abort-fs-in-place, kill-agent-mid-backup, hard-reset-mid-write,
reboot-VM, both concurrency atoms, fill-drive-near-full. I8 not checked, I9 not
automated (cited from the tester-gate run, not re-claimed). kill_controller is
NOT mid-backup and reboot_guest never interleaved with a detach. 27 cycles does
not answer the brief's question about drift at the thirty-eighth.

Teardown still OWED, including hub customer c10-soak (disposition: DELETE).
2026-08-01 15:45:13 +02:00
admin 4691aa1a35 Campaign 10: Phase A complete + gated; Phase B not run; R-156 filed
Phase A passed every gate on a fresh box built from the PUBLISHED ISO 1.26.1:
install, claim, two drives enrolled through the real endpoints with the backup
target healthy, four apps spanning both sides of D5's secret split, and a
working discriminator across all four.

Isolation gate: both denials captured, each with a positive control. The PBS
control FAILED first — four clean-looking 403s were worthless because the token
was denied on its own datastore too (PBS token privilege separation). Fixed and
re-run; the denials stand.

R-156 (new, register grepped): papra's data is neither persisted nor backed up,
and it reports healthy. The template mounts papra_data:/app/data; the app writes
/app/app-data/db/db.sqlite. Volume empty and root-owned against a -rootless
image, real DB in the container writable layer, healthcheck only probes the HTTP
port. Its Tier-1/2 backup is real, verifiable and contains nothing. Not fixed.

Tier 3 could not be isolated so it was not run: offsite hard-requires the DR
tier (configs.go:1300) and the DR tier only provisions on ep0 (per-endpoint
allocation deferred, hub/README.md:260). Both are recorded deliberate positions,
so no R-n minted. The campaign touched neither ep0 nor the Storage Box.

Phase B did not start. Phase A was budgeted at ~1h and took ~5.5h (1.26.1 is a
public release image with no auto-install path, so the install was a blind
screendump+sendkey walk). That left the runner — which judges eleven invariants
and fires destructive atoms unattended — to be written at 04:00 with ~3h of
night left. Stopped on the brief's own fence: a rig producing false negatives is
worse than no rig. The rig is built and idle; teardown is OWED and itemised,
including hub customer c10-soak (disposition: DELETE).
2026-07-31 23:22:25 +02:00