VERDICT. H1 confirmed: the reconstitution never ran. /backup/offbox/reconstitute
was never hit (reconstituted/safety-dump/replay line counts all 0); the operator
clicked the old missing-only button, which merged 34 files and left the DB
untouched. H2 rejected (the full path never executed; staging used the correct
snapshot 49e7cb46). H3 rejected (no replay happened; DB was genuinely asset:0).
R-44 is exonerated and working: 49e7cb46 carries offsite_run_id 20260719T102851Z
and its dump probes to asset:11 / user:1 — a properly coherent pair, against
round 1's asset:0 / user:0.
H4 (NEW, the more important result). Phase-3 recovery ran the real sequence and
the v0.148.0 path executed correctly — safety dump, stop, start, replay — then
the replay ABORTED: relation "clip_index" already exists. Proven to the second:
10:58:25 controller begins replay
10:58:33 immich-server "Reindexing clip_index" -> "Reindexed clip_index"
10:58:35 dump's CREATE INDEX clip_index fails, exit 3
The replay races the app's own schema repair, because reconstitution starts the
stack before replaying (ImportDump needs a live container). The photos survived
only because pg_dump emits COPY data before CREATE INDEX — luck, not design. The
same start-then-replay shape is on the LOCAL path, so it is a class defect.
Recovery: PARTIAL and STOPPED as instructed. All 11 assets are back and visible
by every DB criterion (status=active, deletedAt null, all files resolve), but the
operation reported failure and immich reports schema drift. Not clean acceptance
evidence; no second attempt made; safety dump read only.
Findings -> R-47 (the replay race), R-48 (restore controls separable only by
layout — the proven cause of this incident), R-49 (1.1 GB of a 1.2 GB immich
backup is ML model cache + a postgres data-dir tar duplicating the .sql dump +
immich's own nightly dump; recorded, not changed).
RULINGS LANDED.
- 00-capability-map.md:61 -> PARTIAL, scope-corrected: 6D's destruction hit the
FILE TREE only; the DB survived in its named volume, so "end-to-end from
offsite alone" overclaimed scope.
- The 704.6 MiB "discrepancy" -> CLOSED, not a defect: it was immich's own
Tarhely widget, never a controller page. Same for round 2's 650MiB->1.4GiB.
- customer-restore row: partial evidence recorded, NOT flipped.
Diagnosis only — no code, label or layout changes; no forget/prune.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01P9Nn14TWGzKoqAJAiVwC2s
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