hub v0.111.0: notice a deletion within a day (R-431); correct R-429; re-scope R-95
gates / gates (push) Successful in 17s
gates / gates (push) Successful in 17s
THE RECORD WAS TELLING A WORSE STORY THAN THE TRUTH FOR TWO MONTHS, and my own probe is why.
R-429 CORRECTED. Yesterday's spike searched for a directory called `.snapshots`. The vendor documents
the path as /.zfs/snapshot. The probe's CONTROLS were sound and its SUBJECT was wrong, so "not found"
was true and meant nothing. Re-probed at the documented path on both boxes, with controls:
- /.zfs lists (shares, snapshot) from inside the jail;
- a write into /.zfs/snapshot is REFUSED - dest open ...: Failure - while the identical write to
the account home SUCCEEDS and was cleaned up.
That is the append-only property PROVEN rather than cited, and it is the sentence the whole re-scope
rests on. Seven daily snapshots are confirmed in the panel. The mitigation works. What remains true,
and was always the actual finding: the row claiming it had no R-number, its "confirm tomorrow" went
36 days unanswered, and the DUE-CHECKS block built for that class was empty. THE FINDING WAS NEVER THE
SNAPSHOTS - IT WAS THAT NOBODY COULD TELL.
R-95 RE-SCOPED: the box can delete its LIVE repository but cannot write to the daily snapshots of it,
so a deletion costs at most one day plus a per-file recovery - not open-ended loss. The ranking is
Viktor's; it has been #1 since July on the old story.
R-432 FILED: a sub-account sees /.zfs/snapshot EMPTY while the same box holds seven snapshots, so
per-file recovery is operator-only today. One panel read settles whether a NAMED snapshot can still be
entered, which would make it product-reachable.
R-431 SHIPPED. Third signal in OffsiteChecker. On the hub deliberately: a detector on the box is one
the deletion can silence. Threshold REASONED, not invented - over 12 898 reports every decrease lands
on ZERO and predates stats_known, and in the stats_known window there are none, so observed churn gave
nothing to calibrate against. Retention cannot halve a total; a mass deletion goes to ~0. Hence: more
than half, and at least 5. Guarded by StatsKnown (R-331), the declared State (R-204) and run success
(R-100 - whose lesson lives in this very file).
ACCEPTANCE: 9 009 real report points replayed through the detector produced ZERO alarms.
Three red-proofs run. The escalation one only became real after the first version was found HOLLOW -
it re-swept the same report, so the baseline had already moved and the latch was never consulted.
07 row 10's status is NOT moved: the write-refusal is measured, but the recovery ROUTE has never been
walked, which is what PARTIAL means.
This commit is contained in:
@@ -209,4 +209,5 @@ likewise silent. Evidence: `audits/DRILL-r361-2026-08-22/evidence/06-part3-decis
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| **Operator sees PBS DR datastore fill at a glance (Offsite "PBS DR" tab + dashboard gauge)** | hub v0.65.0 + tenantsync v1.2.0 (R-5) | **IMPLEMENTED** (data pipeline PROVEN-LIVE) | The PBS DR datastore (`felhom-offsite` on ep0) fill — NOT a Hetzner box. **Option A:** a read-only `usage` op on the `felhom-tenantsync` ep0 forced command (twin of `fingerprint`; `df` on the datastore path — no customer_id, no admin token, NO mutation), polled by `monitor.PBSDRBoxChecker` (OffsiteBoxChecker clone; 15-min throttle; states ok/unavailable/degraded; fill 80/90% on the `"pbsdr-box"` operator scope). `/offsite` split into Restic + PBS DR tabs; two dashboard gauges. **Graceful: hub deploy ⟂ ep0 update** (ep0 ≤ v1.1.0 → gauge "n/a" until updated). **Phase-0-pinned** (`df` on ep0 PBS 4.2.3) + **live-computed in-cluster** (ep0 updated to v1.2.0 this session): `19.1% full (7.1 GB of 37.2 GB)`. 10 Go tests + a bash harness + 3 red-proofs; hub v0.65.0 REPORT | Open legs: **UI render** unit-verified only (hub UI password-gated); the **fill alert email** is unit + red-proof verified, NOT fired live (datastore nominal at 19%). Separate PBS threshold keys (default 80/90); no oversubscription (namespaces, not quotas). READ-ONLY |
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| **The hub reports LOSS OF VISIBILITY into either off-site store (not just how full it is)** | hub **v0.106.0** (R-339) | **IMPLEMENTED — deliberately NOT proven-live** | Both box checkers count consecutive failed fetch windows and emit `pbsdr_box_unreachable` / `offsite_box_unreachable` (severity `warning`) past a default 3 windows (≈30–45 min), each with a paired `*_recovered` all-clear routed via `recoveredPairedDownTypes` — required because the recoveries are severity `info`, which `severityNotifies` drops. Scopes stay customer-less (`pbsdr-box` / `pool-box`) → operator channel only. Fill logic untouched: a degraded read still drives no band transition. Evidence: `internal/monitor/box_reachability_test.go` + the cross-package wiring test in `internal/notify/`, which asserts an actual operator mail rather than a map entry. **Filed BECAUSE of a measured gap**, not a hypothesis: the 2026-08-18 ep0 outage ran 9 h 37 m with the hub silent | **The gap that remains is R-340**, and it is not small: the ep0 read is the `usage` op, which rides the LOCAL API daemon — the daemon that incident explicitly cleared — so this check would have shown GREEN for that entire outage. It closes "ep0 is unreachable as a host"; it does not close what actually happened. **No live or constructed outage has exercised the emit path**, and one cannot be manufactured against ep0 (Tier 2, protected) |
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| Secrets hygiene: bearer in k8s Secret, no secrets in git, single-quote credential store | hub v0.53, conventions | **IMPLEMENTED** | 07-13 closing bundle | |
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| Operator login password changeable from UI | hub v0.54 | **IMPLEMENTED** | 07-13 | |
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| Operator login password changeable from UI | hub v0.54 | **IMPLEMENTED** | 07-13 | |
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| **A deletion of a customer's off-site history is NOTICED within a day** | hub **v0.111.0** (R-431) | **IMPLEMENTED — not yet PROVEN-LIVE** | 09-01 | `hub/internal/monitor/offsite.go` — third signal beside FILL and STALENESS. **On the hub deliberately:** a detector on the box is one the deletion can silence. Alarms when the reported count falls by more than HALF and by at least 5, guarded by `StatsKnown` (R-331), the declared `State` (R-204) and run success (R-100). **Threshold reasoned, not invented:** over 12 898 reports every decrease lands on ZERO and predates `stats_known`; in the 380-report `stats_known` window there are none. **ACCEPTANCE: 9 009 real points replayed → ZERO alarms** (`offsite_r431_test.go`, fixture committed). **What PROVEN-LIVE would need and this does NOT have:** a real drop observed on a live box producing a real mail — the live firing done at ship time was driven through the hub's own path with synthetic counts, which is an end-to-end delivery proof, not a proof that a genuine deletion is caught. |
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@@ -885,7 +885,7 @@ crosses the line — **R-158**.
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| 7 | **Guest stopped and does not come back** | everything | guest-power watchdog (60 s, `onboot` as the deliberate-stop discriminator) | automatic | **120 s** | | **PROVEN** | agent v0.107.0 replay — 120 s unattended vs the incident's 587 s with a human |
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| 8 | **Host dies (hardware), drives intact** | the data drives; ep0's PBS namespace; the hub's Recipe + Escrow | **install a new host, then** `--selftest=bring-up -mode dr` per guest, **then** re-attach drives by `durable_id` | **operator** (SSH) | | 7 d | **IMPLEMENTED** | bring-up code exists and has **never been executed** (`CAMPAIGN-8…:522`); the drive half of the plan is empty on every box (**R-105**) |
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| 9 | **Whole box lost (fire/theft) — host and drives gone** | ep0 PBS namespace; the restic repo; the hub's Recipe + Escrow | new hardware → day-0 → escrow-consume with **R** → restore guests from PBS → app data from Tier-3 | **operator + customer** (R) | | 7 d (guest) · 24 h (app data) | **IMPLEMENTED / UNPROVEN** | every leg exists; the composed path has never been run. The destructive S5 drill is operator-gated and unrun (`06-offsite-connectivity.md:327`) |
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| 10 | **Ransomware / malicious deletion inside the guest** | PBS offsite (the box **cannot** delete its own snapshots); **the restic repo is NOT protected the same way** | whole-guest restore from PBS to a point before the event | **operator** (SSH) | | 7 d | **PARTIAL** | R-89 proved the box is refused when deleting its own PBS snapshot (`CAMPAIGN-8…:514-515`). **R-95 (open, ranked #1):** the restic credential **can delete** — `readonly=False`, `forget --prune` runs from the box, and SFTP cannot express append-only (`OPEN-ITEMS.md:13`) **2026-08-30 (R-359): the store is now VERIFIED on a cadence** — a daily `offsite-integrity` job runs `restic check` when the last successful one is over 7 days old. **This is a readability check, not a restore-test (R-87 stays open).** The depth that ships ON now re-reads **100%** of the pack data (R-399 CLOSED, controller v0.228.0) — the sentence here previously said the opposite and was stale. **2026-08-31 (SPIKE R-87):** a scratch restore of every app on demo-hp was measured at **25 s for 8 snapshots / 774 MB**, against 40.3 s for one weekly check — but restic 0.14.0's `--verify` checks size and mtime, **not content**, so nothing available today can vouch for the restored BYTES. Row 4's verdict is UNCHANGED by the spike. `audits/SPIKE-restic-restore-test-2026-08-31.md`. **2026-09-01 (SPIKE R-95, `audits/SPIKE-r95-offsite-delete-2026-09-01.md`) — THIS ROW'S STATUS IS UNCHANGED, but the seven-day bound beside it is now known to be unverified.** Measured on BOTH boxes over their own SFTP credential, with controls: **no `.snapshots` is visible to either sub-account**, and the account is jailed. Either none exist or a sub-account cannot see them — and a snapshot the box cannot see is one the box cannot restore from, so recovery would be an operator act at the Hetzner panel, not a product capability (R-429; the confirming field needs the provider API, fenced by §11-D). **The PBS shape does NOT transfer**: the sub-account API has one permission axis, `readonly`, and a backup target cannot be read-only — PBS is a server that can refuse, a Storage Box is a filesystem that runs nothing. **What the spike removed as a fear:** withdrawing delete does NOT wedge the store (measured — restic treats a dead owner's lock as stale and proceeds). **What it added:** `unlock --remove-all` reports success while deleting nothing (R-430). |
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| 10 | **Ransomware / malicious deletion inside the guest** | PBS offsite (the box **cannot** delete its own snapshots); **the restic repo is NOT protected the same way** | whole-guest restore from PBS to a point before the event | **operator** (SSH) | | 7 d | **PARTIAL** | R-89 proved the box is refused when deleting its own PBS snapshot (`CAMPAIGN-8…:514-515`). **R-95 (open, ranked #1):** the restic credential **can delete** — `readonly=False`, `forget --prune` runs from the box, and SFTP cannot express append-only (`OPEN-ITEMS.md:13`) **2026-08-30 (R-359): the store is now VERIFIED on a cadence** — a daily `offsite-integrity` job runs `restic check` when the last successful one is over 7 days old. **This is a readability check, not a restore-test (R-87 stays open).** The depth that ships ON now re-reads **100%** of the pack data (R-399 CLOSED, controller v0.228.0) — the sentence here previously said the opposite and was stale. **2026-08-31 (SPIKE R-87):** a scratch restore of every app on demo-hp was measured at **25 s for 8 snapshots / 774 MB**, against 40.3 s for one weekly check — but restic 0.14.0's `--verify` checks size and mtime, **not content**, so nothing available today can vouch for the restored BYTES. Row 4's verdict is UNCHANGED by the spike. `audits/SPIKE-restic-restore-test-2026-08-31.md`. **2026-09-01 (SPIKE R-95, `audits/SPIKE-r95-offsite-delete-2026-09-01.md`) — THIS ROW'S STATUS IS UNCHANGED, but the seven-day bound beside it is now known to be unverified.** Measured on BOTH boxes over their own SFTP credential, with controls: **no `.snapshots` is visible to either sub-account**, and the account is jailed. Either none exist or a sub-account cannot see them — and a snapshot the box cannot see is one the box cannot restore from, so recovery would be an operator act at the Hetzner panel, not a product capability (R-429; the confirming field needs the provider API, fenced by §11-D). **The PBS shape does NOT transfer**: the sub-account API has one permission axis, `readonly`, and a backup target cannot be read-only — PBS is a server that can refuse, a Storage Box is a filesystem that runs nothing. **What the spike removed as a fear:** withdrawing delete does NOT wedge the store (measured — restic treats a dead owner's lock as stale and proceeds). **What it added:** `unlock --remove-all` reports success while deleting nothing (R-430). **2026-09-01, LATER THE SAME DAY — THE PROBE ABOVE LOOKED FOR THE WRONG NAME AND THIS ROW'S SECOND CLAUSE IS NOW HALF WRONG.** It searched `.snapshots`; the vendor documents `/.zfs/snapshot`. Re-probed at the documented path on BOTH boxes, with controls, the two halves separate cleanly: **(a) the LIVE repository is deletable by the box — unchanged, R-95 stands;** **(b) the daily SNAPSHOTS of it are not writable by anything — PROVEN, not cited:** a write into `/.zfs/snapshot` is refused (`dest open …: Failure`) while the identical write to the account home succeeds. Seven daily snapshots confirmed in the panel (R-429). **So this row's "the restic repo is NOT protected the same way" is true of the repository and FALSE of its snapshots** — a deletion costs at most the day since the last snapshot, recoverable per-file (vendor). **Two limits kept honest:** a sub-account sees the snapshot directory EMPTY, so per-file recovery is operator-only today (R-432); and a panel-driven restore rolls back the WHOLE box. **The status is NOT moved** — evidence (b) is measured, but the recovery ROUTE has never been walked, which is what PARTIAL means. **Detection shipped hub v0.111.0 (R-431):** an unexplained fall in the snapshot count is noticed within a day. |
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| 11 | **Hub lost** | every box's data plane, every tier, every Lane-1 route | none needed for recovery **of a box**; the hub itself restores from its Longhorn volume backup | operator (`kubectl`) | | 24 h + weekly (Longhorn `RETAIN 1` each) | **UNPROVEN** | a hub restore has never been performed. The backup target is `nfs://192.168.0.180` — **DooPlex itself** — and exactly **2** restore points exist (LIVE, INV Part D2.2) |
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| 11b | *consequences while the hub is gone* | — | — | — | | | **[FACT]** | **day:** nothing customer-visible breaks; events queue (`settings.go:1466-1485`). **week:** the operator alarm plane is dark, no claim/reset codes, no config or floor convergence, no PBS-secret re-issue. **permanently:** escrow custody and break-glass credentials are gone (INV Part D2.4) |
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| 12 | **Offsite provider lost (Hetzner)** | everything on-premises: both drives, both whole-guest tiers | none needed — on-premises recovery is unaffected. Re-provision a new offsite target. | operator | | | **[FACT]** | **restic and PBS share the provider** (INV Part E.1). Whether they share an account and payment method is **UNKNOWN** → §11-D |
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@@ -1085,7 +1085,7 @@ does **not** hold as written. → **R-108**
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| **R-356** | The off-site restore resolved its destination with the raw `HDD_PATH` and read an empty answer as "not installed" — **CLOSED, controller v0.219.0, 2026-08-22** | 40 of 53 apps were refused permanently while running (§6.3 `[DESIGN]`) |
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| ~~**R-108**~~ | ~~Network storage can host an app's namespace~~ | **CLOSED 2026-07-30, controller v0.187.0 — D5 UNBLOCKED.** An app namespace may no longer be placed on network storage (5 surfaces guarded by one fail-closed predicate); the share-root bind is deliberately UNCHANGED because it is load-bearing and unscopable (§10.1). `audits/R108-network-app-namespace-2026-07-30.md` |
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| **R-126** | A `.fab` bundle — plaintext secrets, optional password — can be exported ONTO a NAS: `storageDriveList()` (`internal/web/handler_export.go`) does not filter network paths | split out of R-108, which closed without it. NOT a D5 precondition: an explicit customer-chosen export destination, not a browsing surface reaching a backup tree (§5, §7.3) |
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| R-95 (open) | The restic offsite credential **can delete** — the box can `forget --prune` its own repo, from **two** call sites (`offbox.go:1388` retention and `offbox.go:1759` over-quota) | the tier holding the customer's documents and photos is the one whose credential can destroy it (matrix row 10). **SPIKE 2026-09-01:** prevention needs a transport change (restic 0.14.0 does speak `rest:` — measured; append-only is a rest-server flag, not a restic one), because the sub-account API cannot express write-without-delete. **Detection is nearly free and is recommended first** — `snapshot_count` already reaches the hub and the hub appends reports, so the comparison needs no box change. `audits/SPIKE-r95-offsite-delete-2026-09-01.md` |
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| R-95 (open) | The restic offsite credential **can delete** — the box can `forget --prune` its own repo, from **two** call sites (`offbox.go:1388` retention and `offbox.go:1759` over-quota) | the tier holding the customer's documents and photos is the one whose credential can destroy it (matrix row 10). **SPIKE 2026-09-01:** prevention needs a transport change (restic 0.14.0 does speak `rest:` — measured; append-only is a rest-server flag, not a restic one), because the sub-account API cannot express write-without-delete. **Detection is nearly free and is recommended first** — `snapshot_count` already reaches the hub and the hub appends reports, so the comparison needs no box change. `audits/SPIKE-r95-offsite-delete-2026-09-01.md`. **RE-SCOPED 2026-09-01:** the box can delete the LIVE repository but **cannot write to the daily snapshots of it** (measured, both boxes) — so the exposure is at most one day's data plus an operator-driven per-file recovery, not open-ended loss. Detection shipped hub v0.111.0 (R-431). |
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| ~~R-86~~ | ~~Restore-tests are interval-scheduled, not backup-aligned~~ | **CLOSED 2026-08-03 — agent v0.121.0 + hub v0.91.0.** Restore-testing is now **per archive generation**: a tier is due when its newest archive that has settled ~24 h has not been proven, so a daily tier is proved daily on its own archive and a weekly tier weekly on its own. The ticker survives only as the evaluation interval (6 h, chosen from a measured cost). The hub's staleness window moved with it — per tier, from that tier's observed archive rhythm — because a weekly tier proved weekly sat EXACTLY on the old flat 7-day line (§3, Lane 2's per-archive rule) |
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| ~~R-353~~ | ~~A local unit restore reported a bare completion whether it returned an entire dataset or nothing~~ | **CLOSED 2026-08-30, controller v0.226.0.** The volume count already existed (`restoreDockerVolumesFrom`) and was discarded by a one-line wrapper, so the surface was structurally unable to say what came back. `RestoreFromRecoveryUnit` now returns `UnitRestoreResult` and the sentence has three cases, keyed on replayed-vs-**listed** — zero-replayed has two causes that are opposite news. Every sentence is a claim about the BACKUP, never the app: this path has no `SafetyDump` discriminator, and §6.3 is why that is not pedantry. Proven live on `demo-hp` |
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| ~~R-357~~ | ~~The destructive reconstitute had no free-space gate; all three that existed guarded non-destructive paths~~ | **CLOSED 2026-08-30, controller v0.226.0.** The gate sits before `writeSafetyDump` and `StopStack`, so a refusal costs no outage — the test asserts the StopStack call count, not the sentence. No headroom multiplier (a measured tree, not a predicted download); fail-closed when either probe reads ≤ 0, which was a real fail-open hole. **Not live-validated** — filling a filesystem is a drill step |
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