BEFORE-SLOPE — proxy PID 542065, started 2026-08-18 03:54:53 UTC, never restarted since

Step-2 window (31 min, this run)
  09:18:21Z fd=62  ->  09:49:46Z fd=66
  interval 0.5236 h (1885 s), delta 4 fd
  = 7.64 fd/hour  =  183.3 fd/DAY

Long window (incident t0+17m -> now)
  04:11:36Z fd=19  ->  09:49:46Z fd=66
  interval 5.6361 h (20290 s), delta 47 fd
  = 8.34 fd/hour  =  200.1 fd/DAY

Runway from fd=66 at 183/day to the 65536 soft limit:
  357 days  = 0.98 years

Historical rate implied by the outage: 1016 sockets over 14.29 d = 71.1/day
Socket composition: ESTAB 45 -> 49 (+4); CLOSE-WAIT 1 -> 1 (+0).
=> ALL of the growth in this window is ESTABLISHED connections, not CLOSE-WAIT.
