R-97a: internal/quiesce had no route to the hub at all — three failed whole-guest
backups on 2026-07-27 produced zero events. TierNotifier is a seam (not an import),
wired by an init-only setter because main.go builds the notifier after the loop.
Edge-triggered: the failure fires when the R-88 breaker ARMS, not per retry, and
recovery rides recordSuccess's existing bool. Uses NEW operator-only event types;
reusing backup_failed would have emailed the customer in Hungarian about a backup
they cannot act on, since it has a customerMessages entry and is in live
enabled_events. Requires hub >= v0.78.0.
R-97b: v0.164.0's state filter cannot see an app caught MID-RESTART, which is how
BookStack alarmed. The fix is a suppression window keyed to the quiesce CYCLE,
consumed at the same single derivation point. 180s grace, derived from the deploy
flow's 120s health timeout and Mealie's 60s start_period; it expires, so an app
that genuinely fails to come back still alarms.
internal/quiesce had no failure counter, no backoff and no breaker, and the driver
is a plain 5-minute ticker — so a tier that was due and kept failing stopped and
restarted every customer app stack every 5 minutes indefinitely. Live on
demo-felhom 2026-07-27: three cycles in eleven minutes against an unreachable PBS
tier; it ended only because PBS recovered.
The breaker gates the QUIESCE, not the backup — the harm was the outage taken to
attempt it, so backed-off tiers are dropped before any stack is stopped. Per
target (a broken offsite tier must not suppress a healthy local one), 15m→30m→
1h→2h→4h capped, reset on success, never permanent, never applied to TriggerNow,
and stillRunning is not a failure. State is in-memory on purpose: forgetting a
backoff costs one attempt; persisting one could outlive the fix.
Part 3 invariant recorded on scheduledRunAllowed — a missing value means UNKNOWN,
and only a positive 'never' may fire the safety valve. Fourth instance of the
class (hub v0.12.0, v0.73.0, R-81, R-88).
Part 2 (unknown != never) is NOT in this commit: the agent returns byte-identical
responses for 'read errored' and 'never backed up', so the controller cannot tell
them apart. That needs an agent wire change and is tracked separately.