v0.122.0: three ways the signals lied about themselves (R-189, R-188, R-186)

All three are the reporting and release path misreporting its own work. No
customer machine, no backup, no restore, no data. The restore-test itself and
when it runs are unchanged.

R-189 — a passing restore-test no longer vanishes on a restart. restore_tests[]
came only from the in-memory store, whose comment ("lost on restart; the cadence
re-populates") was true under a timer and stopped being true when R-86 made the
agent refuse to re-test a proven archive: the proof is then not repeated for a
whole archive generation. Observed live — a 14.5 GB offsite PASS reached no
host-report because the agent was restarted 2m43s later. RestoreTestState now
carries tier + verified beside the archive and renders reportable entries; the
collector merges them, one per tier, newest by TestedAt. It refuses to lie: a
record missing archive-or-tier produces no entry, and run mechanics are not
re-invented. Only successes are persisted, and the asymmetry is now written where
it will be read.

R-188 — a correct release stops emailing a failure. Only the tag PUSH moved
(build -> tag locally -> publish -> push tag): the push wakes CI, and a tag
visible before its package made the gate correctly fail a correct release about
half the time. The old order's invariant is asserted directly instead — the gate
now refuses a published version with no tag, as a bounded probe that prints its
own coverage, because the package listing api is still 401 without a token.

R-186 — a released binary can be verified by rebuilding it. -trimpath
-buildvcs=false: same source, same bytes, tag or no tag. Measured. publish-agent's
fallback also forced CGO_ENABLED=0 and produced a 74 KB different binary for the
same version; both paths now build identically. CLAUDE.md records the command.

internal/hub/collect.go

@@ -47,6 +47,22 @@ type RestoreTestReporter interface {
 	RestoreTests(ctx context.Context) []RestoreTest
 }
 
+// ProvenRestoreTestReporter is the DURABLE half of the restore-test signal (R-189).
+//
+// RestoreTestReporter above is backed by an in-memory store whose own comment used to read "lost on
+// restart; the cadence re-populates". That was true while a timer re-tested every tier daily. It
+// stopped being true on 2026-08-03: under per-archive due-ness the agent will not re-test an archive
+// it has already proven, so a proof lost to a restart is not repeated for a whole archive generation
+// — a week on the offsite tier — and the hub reports the tier unproven the entire time.
+//
+// Observed, not predicted: a real 14.5 GB offsite restore passed at 15:25:14, the agent was restarted
+// 2 m 43 s later for a deploy, and the hub logged `0 restore-tests` on the next two reports.
+//
+// (*backup.RestoreTestState).ProvenRestoreTests satisfies this. nil → the merge is a no-op.
+type ProvenRestoreTestReporter interface {
+	ProvenRestoreTests(ctx context.Context) []RestoreTest
+}
+
 // PBSReporter is the slice-6-Phase-B seam the pbs verify loop plugs into (same pattern).
 // Returns the agent's latest-known PBS snapshot inventory + verify-state. nil → empty.
 type PBSReporter interface {
@@ -79,6 +95,7 @@ type Collector struct {
 	storage      StorageObserver
 	backups      BackupReporter
 	restoreTests RestoreTestReporter
+	provenTests  ProvenRestoreTestReporter
 	pbs          PBSReporter
 	temp         TempReader                                    // slice 9: host CPU/chassis temp (nil-safe → nil temp)
 	capProbe     func(ctx context.Context) []capability.Status // v0.44.0: privileged-capability self-check (nil → empty)
@@ -427,16 +444,90 @@ func (c *Collector) collectBackups(ctx context.Context) []Backup {
 	return []Backup{}
 }
 
+// collectRestoreTests merges the in-memory result with the PERSISTED per-tier proofs (R-189).
+//
+// The rule is ONE ENTRY PER TIER, NEWEST WINS, and it falls out of what each source means rather
+// than from a preference between them:
+//
+//   - the in-memory store holds this process's latest run, pass OR fail. A failure exists nowhere
+//     else and must always reach the hub — a failing tier is retried at the next evaluation, so its
+//     record is short-lived by design;
+//   - the persisted state holds the last SUCCESS per tier and survives a restart.
+//
+// Comparing by TestedAt gives the right answer in every case without special-casing: a fresh failure
+// beats an older stored success (the failure is the news), a stored success beats a stale in-memory
+// entry after a restart, and a tier proved twice never appears twice — two entries for one tier would
+// read at the hub as two tests.
+//
+// A tier with no usable persisted proof contributes NOTHING. Reporting an unproven tier as proven
+// would be a worse defect than the one this closes.
 func (c *Collector) collectRestoreTests(ctx context.Context) []RestoreTest {
-	if c.restoreTests == nil {
-		return []RestoreTest{}
+	out := []RestoreTest{}
+	if c.restoreTests != nil {
+		if r := c.restoreTests.RestoreTests(ctx); r != nil {
+			out = append(out, r...)
+		}
 	}
-	if r := c.restoreTests.RestoreTests(ctx); r != nil {
-		return r
+	if c.provenTests == nil {
+		return out
 	}
-	return []RestoreTest{}
+
+	// Index what we already have by tier, keeping the newest per tier.
+	best := map[string]int{} // tier → index into out
+	for i, rt := range out {
+		if rt.SourceTier == "" {
+			continue // untiered entry: never deduped, never overwritten — we cannot say what it is
+		}
+		if j, seen := best[rt.SourceTier]; !seen || newerRestoreTest(rt, out[j]) {
+			best[rt.SourceTier] = i
+		}
+	}
+	for _, p := range c.provenTests.ProvenRestoreTests(ctx) {
+		if p.SourceTier == "" {
+			continue // not usable as a per-tier proof; the state layer already filters these
+		}
+		i, seen := best[p.SourceTier]
+		if !seen {
+			out = append(out, p)
+			best[p.SourceTier] = len(out) - 1
+			continue
+		}
+		if newerRestoreTest(p, out[i]) {
+			out[i] = p
+		}
+	}
+	return out
 }
 
+// newerRestoreTest reports whether a was tested after b. An unparseable or absent timestamp is
+// treated as OLDER, so a malformed entry can never displace a good one.
+func newerRestoreTest(a, b RestoreTest) bool {
+	ta, aok := parseRestoreTestedAt(a.TestedAt)
+	tb, bok := parseRestoreTestedAt(b.TestedAt)
+	if !aok {
+		return false
+	}
+	if !bok {
+		return true
+	}
+	return ta.After(tb)
+}
+
+func parseRestoreTestedAt(s string) (time.Time, bool) {
+	t, err := time.Parse(time.RFC3339, s)
+	if err != nil {
+		return time.Time{}, false
+	}
+	return t.UTC(), true
+}
+
+// SetProvenRestoreTests wires the durable proof source. It is a setter rather than a constructor
+// argument because the persisted state is opened later in main() than the collector is built; the
+// same shape as the other late-wired seams here. **The wiring is asserted by an AST test** — the
+// method it feeds carried a doc comment naming a "host-report gauge" for weeks with no caller at
+// all, and this fix must not become the next instance of that.
+func (c *Collector) SetProvenRestoreTests(p ProvenRestoreTestReporter) { c.provenTests = p }
+
 // collectPBSSnapshots reads the latest PBS snapshot inventory via the seam (nil → empty).
 func (c *Collector) collectPBSSnapshots(ctx context.Context) []PBSSnapshot {
 	if c.pbs == nil {